Solaz, Hector, Catherine de Vries and Roosmarijn de Geus. “In-Group Loyalty and the Electoral Punishment of Corruption.” 2018. Comparative Political Studies, available here
Allen Stevens, Benjamin, Md Mujahedul Islam, Roosmarijn de Geus, Jonah Goldberg, John McAndrews, Alex Mierke-Zatwarnicki, Peter John Loewen and Daniel Rubenson. 2018. “Local Candidate Effects in Canadian Elections.” Canadian Journal of Political Science, available here
Leadership and Expectations: Understanding the 2015 Canadian Federal Election. With Peter Loewen, Daniel Rubenson and Royce Koop. Under contract with Toronto University Press, expected completion Spring 2019.
Shorrocks, Rosalind and Roosmarijn de Geus. “How Do Citizens Develop Confidence in the European Union? The Role of Socialization Experiences.” Revise and resubmit with West European Politics
de Geus, Roosmarijn. “When the economy does not align: an analysis of conflicted partisans in the US from 1980 until 2016” Under review (working paper here)
de Geus, Roosmarijn, John McAndrews and Peter Loewen. “Performance, Leadership Style, and the Retrospective Evaluation of Female Political Executives.” Under review
McAndrews, John, Roosmarijn de Geus and Peter Loewen. “How do voters evaluate allegations of misconduct against politicians?” Under review
PhD Dissertation – Summary
My PhD dissertation is titled: “When Partisan Loyalty and Performance Evaluations Conflict: a Study of Cross-Pressured Partisans in the US.” (dissertation available upon request)
I conducted my PhD at the University of Oxford under supervision of Prof. Catherine de Vries. I was awarded the degree in July 2017, my dissertation was approved with no revisions.
Summary: a key expectation of elections is that voters hold elected officials to account for their performance in office. Yet, recent studies show that this mechanism often fails. Voters, and in particular partisan voters, often make irrational or biased decisions. In the dissertation I seek to move beyond the finding that partisan voters are biased and instead explore under which conditions (if any) partisan voters do punish their preferred party. I use four empirical case studies to explore this question. I focus on situations in which partisan voters receive an explicitly negative signal about their preferred party, my case studies thus cover: economic recessions, political scandals and allegations of political corruption. Using a combination of observational survey data, electoral outcomes and a purposefully designed lab-experiment, I find that partisan voters are responsive to signals about the quality of economic management of the incumbent government and that candidate competence matters at the local level. Yet, the electoral response to corruption and scandal are small or non-existent. In conclusion I argue that three factors moderate the extent to which partisan voters exercise accountability: (1) individual voter characteristics; (2) the electoral context and; (3) the type of government performance. Partisans are not incapable of holding their preferred candidate or party to account for their performance in office, but neither should they always be expected to do so.
Work in Progress
Below I list projects that I am currently working on. All my projects focus on voter attitudes, public opinion and elections. I focus mostly on North America and Western Europe. Please get in touch if you have questions about any of these projects.
“Ideological Heterogeneity and Voter Turnout in the 2015 Canadian Election” (with Peter Loewen and Daniel Rubenson, working paper available upon request)
“Grand Coalitions and the Decline of Social Democratic Parties” (with Liran Harsgor and Or Tuttnauer)
“A cross-national study of voter attitudes toward female political executives” (with Peter Loewen and John McAndrews)